Complex manipulation attempts to control the environment as a means to an end rather than individual characters. Ramos advocates being the "Rebel". The Rebel disrupts, imbalances, and forces new innovation, at the edge of chaos. High disequilibrium is the objective necessary to create change of sorts. Earthquakes, financial meltdowns, subprime panics shakeup the global institution structures and governments causing them to react with stimulus bills and emergence funding. At the same time that the chaos and confusion is running strong there is an invisible and real logic running hidden in the system.
Power and decision-making decentralizes to the people, centralized decision-making yields to autonomous agents, and humanist investments in people increase and create a new social engineering. Investments in infrastructure, innovation, education, and healthcare radically transform the group into a "better" and more resilient system, a phoenix rising form the ashes. Resilience is the objective of the hidden logic and rebellion, self-organizing principle and behavior are part of the sandpile, complexity increases with the network as more agents join, and self-healing of the autonomous agents promote innovation and change. The group starts to behave like an immune system and swarms potential threats and recovers from disasters through autonomous action. The empowerment of group is believed to overcome the destabilizing evil of the bad agents. The fight starts without a fight. The fight starts by manipulation of the environment. The battle between good and evil depends on the creativity and imagination of the coherent groups of like agents working in cooperation too the betterment of the system. Good agents confront bad agents and pursued them to change through debate and argument rather than violence. The battle of ideas is the method of change.
The sandpile theory suggests that grains of sand are being added to the pile forming a cone shape. No one knows what grain of sand added will cause an avalanche of sand. The sandpile is both self-organized and unstable. The instability is intrinsic to the system because of the complexity. The key is to watch the variables in the environment causing the complexity for signs of change. Change is not predictable. However, external forces can cause change causing the sandpile too slide. Large and long-lived Institutions can de-stablize and breakdown.
Inflation concerns and the tightening of money Supply in China can cause investor to buy dollars. The Earthquake disaster in Haiti, drops in Germany production, and a destabilizing euro can cause investors to buy dollars. Central Bank concern in Europe can pressure Japan to extend credit to Europe.
In 2009, the financial meltdown destroyed many small banks, but the large banks and security firm were set to report record profits and employee payouts. Banks like JP Morgan, Bank of America, Citigroup, Goldman, Morgan Stanley, asset managers - BlackRock and Franklin Resources, and online trader Charles Schwab. Analyst reported projected earnings of $449 billion and employee payouts of $145 billion. The profits are in part the result of consolidation: JP Morgan acquired Washington Mutual and Bear Stearns; and Bank of America bought Merrill Lynch and Country wide.
Ricard Semler managed Simco. Simco empower employees to solve company problems. Simco start to transform, workers cross train to provide increased flexibility, and worker solve problems. The old methods of doing business are abandon, the company is relocated, and new ventures start with profit sharing terms. In 2002 Semco Group was one of the founders of Tarpon investment, in 2005, Semco partnered with Pitney Bowes in document and postal management, and 2006, the Bioenergy project is created. Originally, Semco produced mixers for chemicals and in 1984 began manufacturing refrigeration equipment, and by 1986 had started manufacturing refrigeration equipment. What is Semco? The company is constantly changing.
People can act. Small action can create change. Millions of people acting in a small way will transform how things are done.
Questions:
1. Does complexity necessary "persuade men to do good"?
2. Does rebellion and disruption of established institutions transform the institution into a more responsive and adaptable organization of empower individuals? How does high unemployment help anyone or organization?
3. Is disruption of the environment, a means to transfer wealth? How much wealth moved from Banks to Hedge funds? Hedge funds leveraged bet on a Real Estate Bust while convinciing Banks to sale CDO at the same time, hedge funds bought up CDS? How many billions of reported dollars did Hedge funds gain in 2009?
4. Will America remain resilient during periods of high debt, high government spending, and stronger regulation and governance? Politics and business objectives seem disparate. Are moral system more stable than immoral systems?
5. How is the network of small businesses transforming? Has the global paradox been challenged. Is the death of small business leading to large monopolies and bigger big business and higher prices? Why did big business keep $900 billion in the reserves? Is big business planning to buy up all the small business competition and increase prices and profits?
6. Will China be able to sustain their growth. China is the place to watch. China has been investing in infrastructure and growth. However, China loan rate has been huge. Between 1998 and 2000, China has increased expenditures by $1.2 trillion. State Banks have been forced to loan to state enterprises with non performing loans. Deteriorating loan portfolios are sure to have an impact by 2012. There exists 39.6 trillion yuan in outstanding loans.
7. Will US exports to China increase exponentially over the next decade?
8. Why are we so clueless about the bond market?
9. What happens when the Fed soaks over a $1 trillion in Bank Reserve funds? Will Banks report record earnings for the next decade while credit remains tight?
10. What happens when China stops selling the Renminbi (RMB)?
11. Why is Hot money flowing so fast into China? Is a new real estate bubble forming in China caused from China increasing its money supply and high inflation?
12. Why is China resisting a Strong Yuan?
13. How long will China inflate its money supply?
14. What happens with a strong Yuan?
15. Will large China auto companies purchase portions of GM and Chrysler to sell Chinese cars in the US?
16. Will US inflation increase in 2010?
17. What is the relationship between Gold and Banking reserve ratios?
18. Is the Yuan and the Euro linked?
19. How is the eBike transform transportation in China?
20. What are the energy alternatives for India?
Advice:
1. Prosperity is based on the law of righteousness. America is a land of promise because the people are righteous God fearing people.
2. God blesses those who are righteous
3. The people that possess that land of America must remain righteous to preserve their inheritance.
4. America is a choice land above all other lands: freedom, liberty, resources, law, and vision.
5. God will not tolerate an unrighteous people to possess America
6. Repentance from unrighteousness is restores a people to productivity, industrialism, and safety.